0x781870cc3fb2aB7809fb72B41D811a2F05a77Ebf-1778571454679
0x781870cc3fb2ab7809fb72b41d811a2f05a77ebf
- Realised P&L
- $-11.89
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $0.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.072 | 0.025 | $0.04 | −$0.08 |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on September 29? · Up | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Trump Leave China on May 16? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Trump Leave China on May 17? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.27at 0.532Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
- +$-1.00at 0.013Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?
- +$-1.04at 0.002Will Trump Leave China on May 18?
- +$-4.50at 0.276Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 16:51 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.025 | $0.48 |
| 09-29 16:50 | NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on September 29? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 05-14 05:46 | Will Trump Leave China on May 18? | BUY | 0.0023570823 | $1.00 |
| 05-14 05:46 | Will Trump Leave China on May 16? | BUY | 0.0070000001 | $1.00 |
| 05-14 05:46 | Will Trump Leave China on May 17? | BUY | 0.0029666255 | $1.00 |
| 05-14 05:19 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0719999566 | $1.50 |
| 05-14 05:11 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.51 | $0.64 |
| 05-12 09:33 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2759999696 | $4.50 |
| 05-12 09:32 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.51 | $0.73 |
| 05-12 09:32 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.51 | $2.00 |
| 05-12 09:01 | Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? | BUY | 0.0132737912 | $1.00 |
| 05-12 08:47 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5199999844 | $4.00 |