PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dves

0x780f249bb117d07c981d1c0e5690eb4fbe698955

Realised P&L
$-6.5k
Volume
$214.8k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$75.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes0.5100.578$52.3k+$6.1k
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? · No0.6050.725$14.4k+$2.4k
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · No0.6690.595$3.8k$473.88
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Yes0.7050.600$3.6k$624.21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5000.335$1.0k$495.00
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$300.00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$250.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$299.98
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$999.99
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$60.14
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$40.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00$1.0k
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4980.000$0.00$1000.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1240.000$0.00$500.00
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$1000.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 13:00Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?BUY0.6800709608$50.00
09-23 12:59Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?BUY0.6786427108$50.00
09-23 12:59Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?BUY0.6653425994$50.00
09-23 12:58Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?BUY0.64$250.00
09-23 12:53Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.5875786404$20.00
09-23 12:52Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.57658655$50.00
09-23 06:42Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.5957612658$110.00
09-23 06:42Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.5909999921$10.00
09-23 06:41Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.5939999992$140.00
09-23 06:40Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?BUY0.7492844333$20.00
09-23 06:39Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?BUY0.7399999975$60.00
09-23 06:39Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.5893180794$10.00
09-23 06:39Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.5870144213$56.00
09-23 06:38Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.5861791109$50.00
09-23 06:38Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?BUY0.7399999985$50.00