0x7809f89ccee1f1ce114781574f7b62281ac94d1f
0x7809f89ccee1f1ce114781574f7b62281ac94d1f
- Realised P&L
- $711.73
- Volume
- $150.3k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$129.89at 0.032Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$-14.74at 0.604Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- +$-18.01at 0.442Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$-51.94at 0.588Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$-53.62at 0.125Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 09:38 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | SELL | 0.54 | $0.24 |
| 10-31 11:41 | Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.209 | $8.36 |
| 10-31 11:39 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.13 | $403.15 |
| 10-30 23:01 | Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.01 | $41.63 |
| 10-30 22:57 | Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.032 | $150.11 |
| 10-30 22:47 | Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.191 | $9.12 |
| 10-30 16:57 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.16 | $992.37 |
| 10-28 07:00 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.246 | $22.46 |
| 10-27 23:41 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4299999973 | $30.07 |
| 10-27 23:40 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4398904633 | $40.16 |
| 10-27 23:39 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.42 | $79.77 |
| 10-27 23:35 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.429999999 | $81.67 |
| 10-27 21:18 | Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.16 | $17.13 |
| 10-26 21:33 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.6005013421 | $161.21 |
| 10-24 16:12 | Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0139821055 | $50.00 |