PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7806f8B8509Af97CfC5B7B19D1Abc8341DB6AE3f-1768641613991

0x7806f8b8509af97cfc5b7b19d1abc8341db6ae3f

Realised P&L
$5.6k
Volume
$116.9k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$720.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.1030.065$362.22$214.52
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0950.186$193.60+$94.29
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3130.065$85.40$326.34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1350.038$77.00$193.00
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ? · Yes0.0600.021$2.07$3.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-13 23:41US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL0.51$221.85
06-13 13:36US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14SELL0.84$419.98
05-24 12:30US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY0.62$111.60
05-24 10:35US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY0.7$119.00
05-24 03:07Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.11$110.00
05-24 01:41US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY0.42$33.39
05-23 14:58Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?SELL0.3$23.93
05-22 15:53US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?BUY0.93$93.00
05-22 13:54Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?SELL0.79$103.08
05-22 13:05Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?SELL0.79$206.15
05-12 01:06Will Trump visit China by May 15?SELL0.009$4.50
05-10 13:52Will Trump visit China by May 15?SELL0.08$44.00
04-19 12:02Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?SELL0.27$31.05
04-19 11:46Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?SELL0.28$24.70
03-31 01:23Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.34$340.00