PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

I-have-no-money-dont-win-against-me

0x77fc654fb6c0c574dd4e28d33c98d149f985c044

Realised P&L
$-77.19
Volume
$88.4k
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$15.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes0.2900.936$4.1k+$2.9k
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.3660.934$4.0k+$2.4k
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.1060.556$3.8k+$3.0k
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.3830.951$2.2k+$1.3k
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.1300.790$553.00+$462.00
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.4890.974$402.17+$200.27
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · No0.8500.000$0.00−$170.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10AM ET · Down0.2670.000$0.00−$166.15
BNB Up or Down - April 14, 10AM ET · Up0.2400.000$0.00−$47.27
First Blood in Game 2? · GamerLegion0.5600.000$0.00−$8.40
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 9PM ET · Up0.3400.000$0.00−$336.09
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox · Chicago White Sox0.4400.000$0.00−$43.27
BNB Up or Down - April 14, 11AM ET · Down0.4170.000$0.00−$44.93
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner · JD Gaming0.6670.000$0.00−$606.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-18 02:40Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?BUY0.29$189.95
05-16 01:35Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?BUY0.2992994895$967.96
05-16 01:35Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.38$436.05
05-13 08:37Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.4048768526$902.32
05-10 14:59Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10AM ETBUY0.28$4.20
05-02 08:23LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.05$25.00
05-02 07:31LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.6674845708$606.74
05-02 06:26Will Trump visit China by June 30?BUY0.92$1.5k
05-01 16:50Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12PM ETBUY0.95$166.03
05-01 10:01MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?BUY0.99$408.17
05-01 10:00MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?BUY0.9774103214$2.7k
05-01 08:00Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.149$40.92
04-30 05:41MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?SELL0.35$35.00
04-30 02:34Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?BUY0.997$99.70
04-30 02:33Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?BUY0.995$87.31