0x77fa47189ddBA1eeFa3eA7d92a497e370807a23D-1776838051537
0x77fa47189ddba1eefa3ea7d92a497e370807a23d
- Realised P&L
- $3.3k
- Volume
- $112.9k
- Markets traded
- 127
- Open portfolio
- $1.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded127
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.470Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
- +$1.4kat 0.174Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?
- +$1.4kat 0.074Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 Senegal?
- +$800.01at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
- +$353.66at 0.118Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 23:43 | Will CA Platense vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.13 | $260.00 |
| 06-24 15:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4953692963 | $207.97 |
| 06-24 15:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | SELL | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 06-24 15:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.13 | $13.00 |
| 06-24 15:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | SELL | 0.4794158383 | $128.77 |
| 06-24 15:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | SELL | 0.282016129 | $39.17 |
| 06-24 15:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.7199999986 | $100.00 |
| 06-24 15:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.3723114801 | $100.00 |
| 06-24 15:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | SELL | 0.940151337 | $247.87 |
| 06-24 15:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.6444727499 | $169.92 |
| 06-24 14:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999987 | $100.00 |
| 06-24 14:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $100.00 |
| 06-24 14:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $100.00 |
| 06-24 04:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | BUY | 0.395448389 | $40.00 |
| 06-24 04:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | SELL | 0.32 | $44.40 |