Kennanfdb
0x77f599f7c35466ba3e9b62801af26cc56fcfa0b4
- Realised P&L
- $-40.09
- Volume
- $17.9k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $108.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Jazz (-1.5) · Grizzlies | 0.540 | 0.545 | $91.56 | +$0.84 |
| Celtic FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.530 | 0.525 | $17.32 | −$0.16 |
| Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.264 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.75 |
| Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-08-15? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.00 |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Play-In · Nongshim Red Force | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.55 |
| Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-07-27? · No | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.95 |
| Golden Knights vs. Avalanche · Avalanche | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$396.87at 0.500Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$381.15at 0.500Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$319.66at 0.500Will Esteban Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
- +$314.69at 0.500Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
- +$106.57at 0.500Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 08:01 | Celtic FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $17.49 |
| 10-19 06:44 | Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.63 |
| 10-19 06:43 | Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $630.74 |
| 10-19 06:43 | Will Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.998 | $23.58 |
| 10-19 06:43 | Will Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.998 | $610.78 |
| 10-19 06:42 | Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.998 | $21.61 |
| 10-19 06:42 | Will Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.999 | $635.00 |
| 10-19 06:42 | Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.998 | $629.74 |
| 10-19 06:42 | Will Esteban Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.64 |
| 10-19 06:41 | Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.999 | $652.00 |
| 10-19 06:41 | Will Esteban Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $640.72 |
| 10-19 03:35 | Spread: Jazz (-1.5) | BUY | 0.54 | $90.72 |
| 09-11 03:06 | Packers vs. Vikings | BUY | 0.55 | $5.50 |
| 08-27 03:17 | LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Play-In | BUY | 0.57 | $8.55 |
| 08-14 08:40 | Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-08-15? | BUY | 0.52 | $13.00 |