0x77f1ee8810729d61cd09ef18f6dc60cad1989a0d
0x77f1ee8810729d61cd09ef18f6dc60cad1989a0d
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $76.9k
- Markets traded
- 93
- Open portfolio
- $62.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded93
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Costa Rica vs. Curaçao end in a draw? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.140 | $62.43 | −$40.14 |
| Will Dominica win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.001 | $0.16 | −$199.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$698.95at 0.267Will Tajikistan vs. India end in a draw?
- +$412.61at 0.404Will Germany win on 2026-09-24?
- +$383.62at 0.700Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
- +$325.17at 0.710Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10?
- +$304.02at 0.754Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 01:47 | Will Costa Rica vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2299999999 | $102.57 |
| 09-25 01:46 | Will Cayman Islands vs. Dominica end in a draw? | SELL | 0.58 | $109.96 |
| 09-24 21:58 | Will Cayman Islands vs. Dominica end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2134206714 | $40.46 |
| 09-24 21:55 | Will Cayman Islands vs. Dominica end in a draw? | SELL | 0.2 | $44.22 |
| 09-24 21:12 | Will Cayman Islands vs. Dominica end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2099999991 | $46.43 |
| 09-24 21:11 | Will Dominica win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.6199999992 | $200.01 |
| 09-24 20:37 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? | SELL | 0.9004130083 | $761.96 |
| 09-24 18:08 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.3899999996 | $330.03 |
| 09-24 17:45 | Will Malta win on 2026-09-24? | SELL | 0.9 | $345.20 |
| 09-24 17:30 | Will Malta win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.25 | $95.89 |
| 09-23 21:17 | Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX (BO5) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs | BUY | 0.3099999996 | $96.20 |
| 08-31 21:27 | Will AD Pasto win on 2026-08-31? | BUY | 0.5899999998 | $93.00 |
| 08-31 21:26 | Will AD Pasto vs. Deportivo Pereira end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999966 | $50.00 |
| 08-31 18:57 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31? | BUY | 0.6599998555 | $1.37 |
| 08-31 18:57 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31? | BUY | 0.6599999997 | $96.00 |