J1122
0x77eecb4e0ee5be8bd43fdbece0d88a8707a9cbe9
- Realised P&L
- $367.96
- Volume
- $33.2k
- Markets traded
- 141
- Open portfolio
- $151.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded141
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.061 | $99.39 | +$44.40 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 15? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.325 | $52.42 | +$2.42 |
| Spread: Oregon (-3.5) · USC | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Eagles vs. Bears: O/U 41.5 · Over | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.00 |
| Presidents Cup 2026 Winner · International | 0.491 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.13 |
| Ravens vs. Cowboys · Cowboys | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Oregon vs. USC · USC | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Spread: Florida (-4.5) · Ole Miss | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$195.75at 0.301Packers vs. Vikings
- +$171.46at 0.336North Carolina vs. Clemson
- +$127.27at 0.440LSU vs. Ole Miss
- +$122.41at 0.290Jaguars vs. Broncos
- +$121.85at 0.421Cowboys vs. Giants
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 23:33 | Spread: Cowboys (-9.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $51.00 |
| 10-08 23:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.3099999992 | $50.00 |
| 10-05 15:37 | Falcons vs. Saints | BUY | 0.4799999985 | $50.00 |
| 09-29 11:20 | Steelers vs. Browns | BUY | 0.4299999929 | $21.76 |
| 09-28 08:35 | Eagles vs. Bears: O/U 41.5 | BUY | 0.5099999965 | $55.00 |
| 09-27 23:33 | Ravens vs. Cowboys | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $30.00 |
| 09-27 01:28 | Seahawks vs. Commanders | BUY | 0.2399999992 | $25.00 |
| 09-26 23:39 | Oregon vs. USC | BUY | 0.4199999984 | $100.00 |
| 09-26 23:08 | Spread: Oregon (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 09-26 19:25 | Spread: Florida (-4.5) | BUY | 0.5199999954 | $50.00 |
| 09-26 14:55 | Spread: Texas (-5.5) | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $100.00 |
| 09-26 13:52 | Iowa vs. Michigan | BUY | 0.3399999989 | $50.00 |
| 09-26 13:49 | Spread: Michigan (-5.5) | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $50.00 |
| 09-26 13:48 | Presidents Cup 2026 Winner | BUY | 0.4913 | $49.13 |
| 09-26 00:07 | Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0219999999 | $5.00 |