towtle
0x77e34da86f95280c71e2ec12491d963b85e546cf
- Realised P&L
- $152.12
- Volume
- $118.3k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $4.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.447 | 0.578 | $1.7k | +$391.94 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.646 | 0.903 | $839.39 | +$238.70 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.249 | 0.217 | $652.49 | −$94.47 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.145 | $507.49 | +$17.51 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year? · No | 0.375 | 0.585 | $254.59 | +$91.28 |
| Will Franco Colapinto win the 2026 Action of the Year? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.047 | $2.14 | −$0.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$784.55at 0.573Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$750.53at 0.327Will 3 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs?
- +$239.52at 0.698Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
- +$138.00at 0.074Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$28.05at 0.600Will Atlético Madrid win Copa Del Rey?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 14:45 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.7902199373 | $181.37 |
| 08-29 11:01 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.14 | $32.30 |
| 08-23 13:40 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.719 | $143.79 |
| 07-19 18:35 | Will Franco Colapinto win the 2026 Action of the Year? | BUY | 0.0497867663 | $2.26 |
| 07-19 13:06 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.12 | $19.11 |
| 07-19 09:55 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.561 | $1.2k |
| 07-15 19:18 | Will David Raya score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.97 |
| 07-07 19:46 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year? | BUY | 0.56 | $21.24 |
| 07-05 15:16 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.14 | $9.94 |
| 07-05 15:11 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.14 | $8.51 |
| 07-03 18:29 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.072 | $72.00 |
| 07-02 18:33 | Will David Raya score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9956991567 | $50.77 |
| 07-01 04:49 | Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.72 | $48.12 |
| 06-30 06:25 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.5041648442 | $183.51 |
| 06-28 13:47 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.028 | $20.20 |