883b
0x77e102cd64effaf1015766194f46f3de6b46bf17
- Realised P&L
- $-90.00
- Volume
- $114.7k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $12.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.001 | $6.63 | −$112.77 |
| Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $1.32 | +$0.00 |
| Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.31 | +$0.00 |
| LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 3 Winner · DN SOOPers Challengers | 0.960 | 1.000 | $1.14 | +$0.05 |
| Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.997 | 0.997 | $1.13 | −$0.00 |
| Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $1.13 | −$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.37at 0.006Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$3.11at 0.007Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$1.63at 0.968Ethereum all time high by October 31?
- +$0.12at 0.979Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?
- +$0.09at 0.407Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 10:15 | Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.9969999991 | $1.13 |
| 09-11 10:14 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.13 |
| 09-11 10:14 | Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.31 |
| 09-11 10:13 | Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.32 |
| 09-11 10:09 | LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.9599997182 | $1.09 |
| 06-24 06:42 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 24? | BUY | 0.9989992151 | $1.12 |
| 06-24 06:42 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 24? | BUY | 0.997999542 | $1.12 |
| 06-24 06:40 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on June 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.11 |
| 06-24 06:39 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 24? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.11 |
| 06-24 06:39 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 24? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.11 |
| 05-11 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 11? | BUY | 0.9969993166 | $1.03 |
| 05-11 06:03 | Will Netflix Game Controller be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.03 |
| 05-11 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 11? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.03 |
| 05-11 06:01 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.03 |
| 05-11 06:00 | Will Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.03 |