0x77d7a644a056b81ad7e25ee6ad30c4fde00df7e2
0x77d7a644a056b81ad7e25ee6ad30c4fde00df7e2
- Realised P&L
- $-8.60
- Volume
- $338.92
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $2.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.835 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.8B? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.250 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.60at 0.237Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$4.45at 0.340US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$3.53at 0.400Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$3.11at 0.430Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$2.86at 0.450Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 21 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 21:58 | Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.8B? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 04:41 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:12 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $332 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 04:50 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 20:46 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $164 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 12:37 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 04:35 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:28 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:46 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 08:31 | Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 11:57 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:56 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 19:00 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 06:06 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 22:03 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |