PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

robertmcintosh

0x77d743d833642b83dac67a5b283e9285ed95804f

Realised P&L
$-0.59
Volume
$12.1k
Markets traded
83
Open portfolio
$22.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded83
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election? · No0.7400.915$10.98+$2.10
Eagles vs. Bears · Eagles0.6700.635$8.79−$0.48
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 600,000 and 640,000? · No0.6300.480$3.06−$0.96
Illinois State vs. Northern Iowa · Illinois State0.8900.000$0.00−$9.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 14:06Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January?BUY0.9989999436$4.73
01-31 13:37Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.9939999999$14.90
01-30 16:31Will Ethena hit $0.37 in January?BUY0.998$7.95
01-30 15:19Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in January?BUY0.995$14.14
01-30 14:24Will Chainlink hit $21 in January?BUY0.995$44.30
12-30 13:41Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025?BUY0.9979999602$19.27
12-30 01:34Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025?BUY0.998$12.26
12-30 01:15Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?BUY0.9979999539$18.50
12-29 23:35Xi Jinping out in 2025?BUY0.9969999665$14.90
12-29 19:23Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025?BUY0.998$22.76
10-30 23:59Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?BUY0.999$25.32
10-30 21:50Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%?BUY0.999$19.35
10-30 18:50Will xAI have the top AI model on October 31?BUY0.9889999998$20.83
09-29 10:01Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.9889999997$17.76
09-29 01:44Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.9989999884$16.79