0x77d40b82f33db9005d6d871721bd09f032013156
- Realised P&L
- $-97.08
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $6.51
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.244 | 0.044 | $6.51 | −$29.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$77.66at 0.195UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$26.13at 0.216UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$10.28at 0.663Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
- +$5.73at 0.176Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
- +$1.32at 0.136Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 21:52 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.0705440358 | $9.13 |
| 07-19 21:50 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0709999932 | $9.19 |
| 07-19 21:50 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.046 | $4.80 |
| 07-19 21:27 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2599999832 | $9.00 |
| 07-19 21:27 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2779999539 | $4.00 |
| 07-19 21:03 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3609999888 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 21:02 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | SELL | 0.09 | $8.67 |
| 07-19 20:17 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.2074999921 | $20.00 |
| 07-15 02:45 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.2280855462 | $25.60 |
| 07-09 22:38 | Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 21:30 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1749999933 | $19.64 |
| 06-17 07:17 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.11 | $11.92 |
| 06-17 07:16 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.09 | $22.60 |
| 06-14 21:43 | Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2436033366 | $35.62 |
| 06-14 21:41 | UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2099999784 | $7.00 |