PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x77d40b82f33db9005d6d871721bd09f032013156

Realised P&L
$-97.08
Volume
$4.6k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$6.51

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration63.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2440.044$6.51$29.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 21:52Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.0705440358$9.13
07-19 21:50Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0709999932$9.19
07-19 21:50Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.046$4.80
07-19 21:27Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2599999832$9.00
07-19 21:27Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2779999539$4.00
07-19 21:03Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3609999888$20.00
07-19 21:02Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?SELL0.09$8.67
07-19 20:17Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.2074999921$20.00
07-15 02:45Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.2280855462$25.60
07-09 22:38Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?BUY0.2599999646$5.00
07-08 21:30Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.1749999933$19.64
06-17 07:17Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.11$11.92
06-17 07:16Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.09$22.60
06-14 21:43Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.2436033366$35.62
06-14 21:41UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.2099999784$7.00