Winner1203
0x77d2aec78463f7ca8fd18ee7976515557387b257
- Realised P&L
- $-28.74
- Volume
- $18.2k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $203.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.208 | 0.274 | $171.76 | +$41.37 |
| Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government? · Yes | 0.124 | 0.130 | $31.39 | +$1.39 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$82.17at 0.195UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$48.62at 0.370Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
- +$20.36at 0.273US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
- +$13.91at 0.430US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
- +$-2.35at 0.339Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:01 | Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.1242294811 | $30.00 |
| 10-22 12:16 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.2074075301 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 16:48 | Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.01831 | $3.66 |
| 10-02 16:48 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.1316615489 | $187.46 |
| 09-29 17:05 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 17:04 | Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.037 | $7.40 |
| 09-28 17:57 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.204 | $10.20 |
| 09-28 17:42 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.195 | $78.00 |
| 09-16 16:27 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.06 | $30.48 |
| 09-15 18:45 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $15.00 |
| 09-15 18:41 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 09-15 18:38 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $16.69 |
| 09-13 18:10 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.08 | $80.00 |
| 09-13 08:55 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.31 | $21.70 |
| 09-13 08:55 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.31 | $13.95 |