PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Winner1203

0x77d2aec78463f7ca8fd18ee7976515557387b257

Realised P&L
$-28.74
Volume
$18.2k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$203.15

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration49.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.2080.274$171.76+$41.37
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government? · Yes0.1240.130$31.39+$1.39
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00−$11.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 19:01Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?BUY0.1242294811$30.00
10-22 12:16Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.2074075301$100.00
10-02 16:48Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.01831$3.66
10-02 16:48Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.1316615489$187.46
09-29 17:05Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.2$10.00
09-29 17:04Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.037$7.40
09-28 17:57Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.204$10.20
09-28 17:42Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.195$78.00
09-16 16:27Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.06$30.48
09-15 18:45Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.05$15.00
09-15 18:41Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.07$7.00
09-15 18:38Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.11$16.69
09-13 18:10Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.08$80.00
09-13 08:55Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.31$21.70
09-13 08:55Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.31$13.95