0x77cB3E626E8250B230eAD8f89621922bb2f4Efff-1775670436996
0x77cb3e626e8250b230ead8f89621922bb2f4efff
- Realised P&L
- $-21.27
- Volume
- $29.7k
- Markets traded
- 158
- Open portfolio
- $34.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded158
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win on 2026-10-04? · Yes | 0.573 | 0.490 | $34.23 | −$5.77 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · San Diego Padres | 0.961 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$57.00 |
| Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider · Aryna Sabalenka | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$69.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.95at 0.437Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?
- +$21.75at 0.849Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?
- +$20.29at 0.667Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?
- +$19.80at 0.824Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-16?
- +$16.97at 0.867Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-09-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 16:49 | Will Austria win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.5726320641 | $40.00 |
| 09-26 12:46 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.999 | $144.63 |
| 09-26 12:33 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.8420567194 | $121.91 |
| 09-18 19:19 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.3899999976 | $50.00 |
| 09-18 19:18 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18? | SELL | 0.999 | $174.55 |
| 09-18 19:10 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.995 | $173.85 |
| 09-18 18:25 | Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-09-18? | SELL | 0.999 | $173.17 |
| 09-18 17:57 | Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.998 | $173.00 |
| 09-17 21:07 | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-17? | SELL | 0.999 | $172.90 |
| 09-17 20:06 | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.988 | $171.00 |
| 09-17 20:02 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17? | SELL | 0.999 | $171.78 |
| 09-17 19:25 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.9769999999 | $168.00 |
| 09-16 21:38 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? | SELL | 0.999 | $168.24 |
| 09-16 20:05 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.9797031165 | $165.00 |
| 09-16 18:32 | Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-09-16? | SELL | 0.999 | $165.04 |