Axel974
0x77c5bb3a850690d2f7a249851e03ef9ab229d8fd
- Realised P&L
- $-66.89
- Volume
- $10.1k
- Markets traded
- 162
- Open portfolio
- $36.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded162
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.26at 0.242Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
- +$4.39at 0.406Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 20?
- +$2.75at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
- +$2.75at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
- +$2.75at 0.450Solana Up or Down - March 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 22:02 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0839999994 | $2.92 |
| 09-24 22:02 | Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3299999815 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 22:00 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0839999993 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 21:57 | Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 21:56 | Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3299999815 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 21:55 | Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3099999857 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 21:49 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0839999993 | $2.00 |
| 04-29 02:58 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.00 |
| 04-29 02:57 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 04-27 22:46 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $6.40 |
| 04-27 22:45 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.78 | $4.88 |
| 04-27 22:45 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.01 |
| 04-27 22:45 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.88 |
| 04-27 22:45 | Trump out as President by June 30? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.65 |
| 04-27 22:14 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.40 |