0x93dDc331Ba7eceeFF28d67CE8a6c5D025C93Adb1-1766479533278
0x77ba88d769be2b633a9b7f215c97b4af50962042
- Realised P&L
- $12.50
- Volume
- $355.50
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $45.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs OldMix - Map 1 Winner · Eternal Fire Academy | 0.991 | 0.995 | $4.97 | +$0.02 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · Yes | 0.983 | 0.995 | $4.97 | +$0.06 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · Yes | 0.966 | 0.984 | $4.92 | +$0.09 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · No | 0.932 | 0.957 | $4.79 | +$0.13 |
| Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.945 | 0.950 | $4.75 | +$0.02 |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? · No | 0.910 | 0.925 | $4.63 | +$0.07 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No | 0.920 | 0.915 | $4.58 | −$0.03 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.021 | $4.36 | −$5.64 |
| Will Brian Bengs win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.918 | 0.918 | $3.75 | +$0.00 |
| Will Dallas Wings advance to the Semifinals in the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? · No | 0.880 | 0.700 | $3.50 | −$0.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.12at 0.587Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$6.55at 0.607Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$5.76at 0.637Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$1.45at 0.710Spread: Browns (-4.5)
- +$1.05at 0.790Spread: Browns (-7.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 07:52 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 09-29 07:51 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 09-29 07:50 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0469999999 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 07:33 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5299999899 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 03:45 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 03:44 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.629999988 | $10.00 |
| 06-29 01:50 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.5799999954 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 01:50 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.5799999954 | $5.00 |