baba1443
0x77b61b96b30a36b885aa8280522a7cabf5e47fec
- Realised P&L
- $11.1k
- Volume
- $1.06M
- Markets traded
- 335
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded335
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.6kat 0.893Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$2.7kat 0.910No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
- +$2.1kat 0.962Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$2.1kat 0.821Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 1?
- +$1.2kat 0.978Netanyahu out by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 22:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 16? | SELL | 0.9703053746 | $1.2k |
| 09-15 22:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 16? | SELL | 0.973 | $2.5k |
| 09-15 17:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.967 | $5.7k |
| 09-15 13:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.949 | $446.03 |
| 09-15 13:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.94 | $746.20 |
| 09-13 12:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 13? | BUY | 0.985 | $1.9k |
| 09-12 16:30 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.19 | $190.00 |
| 09-12 13:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 13? | BUY | 0.966 | $1.4k |
| 09-12 13:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 13? | BUY | 0.963 | $963.00 |
| 09-12 02:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 12? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.2k |
| 09-12 02:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 12? | BUY | 0.94 | $489.16 |
| 09-04 18:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 5? | BUY | 0.962 | $1.8k |
| 09-04 15:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 4? | BUY | 0.9596574267 | $1.7k |
| 09-04 13:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 4? | BUY | 0.985 | $3.0k |
| 09-01 15:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 1? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.3k |