arbarb7
0x77add09dc3203df69184179d4ac49e23bac6ba8a
- Realised P&L
- $-8.4k
- Volume
- $1.12M
- Markets traded
- 558
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded558
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.620Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$2.3kat 0.177Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
- +$2.2kat 0.746Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?
- +$1.7kat 0.324Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$1.4kat 0.081Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 07:06 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September? | BUY | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 09-18 00:39 | Lions vs. Bills | BUY | 0.14 | $8.89 |
| 09-17 21:38 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $12.87 |
| 09-16 20:30 | Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.7813567362 | $823.55 |
| 09-15 11:16 | Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.76 | $7.91 |
| 09-15 05:05 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September? | SELL | 0.4 | $7.80 |
| 09-15 05:04 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September? | BUY | 0.59 | $16.52 |
| 09-14 23:23 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.13 | $1.04 |
| 09-14 23:23 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.2174059663 | $8.38 |
| 09-14 22:55 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.25 | $9.22 |
| 09-14 19:34 | Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.1452760736 | $5.92 |
| 09-14 19:31 | Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.33 | $6.93 |
| 09-14 12:57 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September? | SELL | 0.69 | $2.07 |
| 09-14 12:56 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September? | BUY | 0.28 | $5.46 |
| 09-14 08:54 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in September? | BUY | 0.68 | $27.37 |