Sayl7Seas
0x77a634e0a598b62226bc50401002734fecd63606
- Realised P&L
- $6.0k
- Volume
- $84.8k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $8.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.7kat 0.503Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.1kat 0.475Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
- +$699.32at 0.499Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
- +$516.63at 0.691Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
- +$238.44at 0.910Will Tim Walz drop out by January 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 23:36 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $289.36 |
| 09-15 23:35 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $313.38 |
| 09-15 23:34 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $672.30 |
| 09-15 23:33 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $342.00 |
| 09-15 23:32 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.11 | $550.00 |
| 09-01 05:21 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $331.74 |
| 09-01 05:21 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $148.84 |
| 09-01 04:55 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $190.68 |
| 09-01 04:53 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $110.16 |
| 09-01 04:53 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $92.05 |
| 08-20 18:55 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $40.50 |
| 08-19 06:48 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $98.00 |
| 08-19 06:43 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $155.00 |
| 08-19 06:08 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $343.00 |
| 08-19 06:06 | Will Dan S. Sullivan win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round? | SELL | 0.0240798488 | $9.05 |