0x7799bc3a6461ecd49604f06f3bafcc2f645dd511
0x7799bc3a6461ecd49604f06f3bafcc2f645dd511
- Realised P&L
- $5.52
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $346.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.743 | $140.62 | +$15.63 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? · Yes | 0.675 | 0.627 | $116.20 | −$8.80 |
| Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.710 | 0.755 | $89.32 | +$5.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.25at 0.640Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
- +$53.62at 0.662Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$35.51at 0.427Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
- +$19.67at 0.790Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
- +$16.67at 0.750Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 21:24 | Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.7099999949 | $84.00 |
| 09-21 21:19 | Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player? | BUY | 0.6599999996 | $125.00 |
| 09-21 21:17 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? | BUY | 0.6750191138 | $125.00 |
| 09-21 21:15 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.073 | $5.59 |
| 09-21 21:10 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.54 |
| 07-12 01:19 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.201 | $11.96 |
| 06-17 08:42 | Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6299999982 | $100.00 |
| 06-15 19:02 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.1329721654 | $12.00 |
| 06-11 13:03 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.1849999942 | $25.00 |
| 06-03 11:49 | Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? | BUY | 0.8022803378 | $54.15 |
| 05-21 11:20 | Will OpenAI have the third highest private market valuation on June 30? | BUY | 0.8186795457 | $93.00 |
| 05-21 11:17 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | BUY | 0.4034959439 | $25.00 |
| 05-21 11:16 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.6009999987 | $46.00 |
| 05-21 11:15 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.3119999907 | $14.00 |
| 05-21 11:10 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1679999875 | $10.00 |