fdsffdtrump
0x779976b7ea454baf4b4db501dd89f16961ceebd7
- Realised P&L
- $4.6k
- Volume
- $179.1k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $118.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.736 | 0.435 | $118.24 | −$81.76 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.162 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.8k |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.111 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$993.00 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$937.99 |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$221.00 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.081 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$890.00 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$265.00 |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$209.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.3kat 0.161Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$4.7kat 0.517Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5
- +$2.5kat 0.547Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score
- +$1.7kat 0.517Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score
- +$875.77at 0.695Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 15:20 | Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $5.0k |
| 06-29 20:10 | Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.54 | $3.0k |
| 06-29 15:02 | Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.51 | $1.8k |
| 06-29 15:00 | Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.27 | $3.2k |
| 04-20 21:11 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0189999999 | $210.00 |
| 04-20 21:11 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.02 | $221.00 |
| 04-20 21:11 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0226880412 | $243.00 |
| 04-20 21:11 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0249433194 | $265.00 |
| 04-20 21:11 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0339999999 | $375.00 |
| 04-20 21:11 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.054 | $596.00 |
| 04-20 21:11 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0808883867 | $890.00 |
| 04-20 21:10 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0849999999 | $938.00 |
| 04-20 21:10 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0903680876 | $993.00 |
| 04-20 21:10 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.111 | $1.2k |
| 04-20 21:10 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1609999999 | $1.8k |