0x7796683c981091dc0c6210472ad0770a0d33076f
- Realised P&L
- $4.68
- Volume
- $519.66
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $69.47
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.83at 0.500Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
- +$9.56at 0.500Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
- +$5.20at 0.350Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
- +$-0.20at 0.140Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
- +$-0.22at 0.082Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 08:14 | Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.379 | $1.90 |
| 07-05 06:58 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | BUY | 0.964 | $5.78 |
| 06-29 01:40 | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 06-28 10:13 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 06-28 10:11 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | BUY | 0.114 | $1.25 |
| 06-24 16:37 | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $5.28 |
| 06-22 10:51 | Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.94 | $8.46 |
| 06-16 20:41 | Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 06-13 14:36 | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 06-11 12:28 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.905 | $7.24 |
| 06-10 21:29 | US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.44 |
| 06-09 10:37 | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | BUY | 0.925 | $10.18 |
| 06-07 01:47 | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | BUY | 0.925 | $6.18 |
| 06-01 06:29 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.82 | $9.02 |
| 06-01 06:29 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.08 |