PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x7796683c981091dc0c6210472ad0770a0d33076f

Realised P&L
$4.68
Volume
$519.66
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$69.47

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration57.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · No0.9250.964$17.04+$0.69
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.8200.895$9.85+$0.82
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.9400.966$8.69+$0.23
Modi out by December 31, 2026? · No0.9050.945$7.56+$0.32
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.975$5.85+$0.57
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · No0.9640.971$5.83+$0.04
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? · No0.8420.958$5.75+$0.69
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.7700.905$4.53+$0.68
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? · Yes0.0900.085$1.70$0.10
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1800.105$0.63$0.45
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? · Yes0.1300.055$0.55$0.75
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? · Yes0.3790.091$0.46$1.44
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? · Yes0.5000.019$0.39$9.61
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? · Yes0.1600.038$0.34$1.10
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · Yes0.1140.029$0.32$0.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 08:14Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?BUY0.379$1.90
07-05 06:58Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.964$5.78
06-29 01:40Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? BUY0.13$1.30
06-28 10:13U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?BUY0.09$1.80
06-28 10:11Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.114$1.25
06-24 16:37Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?BUY0.88$5.28
06-22 10:51Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.94$8.46
06-16 20:41Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.77$3.85
06-13 14:36U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? BUY0.91$4.55
06-11 12:28Modi out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.905$7.24
06-10 21:29US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?BUY0.16$1.44
06-09 10:37Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.925$10.18
06-07 01:47Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.925$6.18
06-01 06:29Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.82$9.02
06-01 06:29Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.18$1.08