PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Petrarka

0x7795a264a32b21cdc3256ca4f1ddab33433108df

Realised P&L
$-3.2k
Volume
$199.0k
Markets traded
6,305
Open portfolio
$97.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,305
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on October 15? · Yes0.6200.685$6.85+$0.65
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 14? · Yes0.7800.905$5.80+$0.80
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 15? · No0.8600.890$5.17+$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on October 15? · No0.5800.505$5.05−$0.75
Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 27°C on October 14? · Yes0.0900.495$4.95+$4.05
Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 28°C on October 14? · Yes0.0900.490$4.90+$4.00
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 14? · Yes0.6400.615$4.80−$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 14? · No0.9060.958$4.79+$0.26
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 15? · No0.8000.760$4.75−$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 16? · Yes0.2000.095$4.74−$5.26
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 14? · No0.9140.948$4.74+$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on October 15? · No0.7720.730$4.73−$0.27
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 15? · No0.7000.655$4.68−$0.32
Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 26°C on October 14? · Yes0.0900.465$4.65+$3.75
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 14? · No0.9000.680$3.40−$1.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 15:12Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C on October 15?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-14 12:19Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on October 15?BUY0.8299999613$3.00
10-14 10:20Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 15?BUY0.699999972$5.00
10-14 10:19Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 16?BUY0.2003587343$10.00
10-14 09:38Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 15?SELL0.18$0.75
10-14 09:38Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 15?SELL0.18$3.83
10-14 09:38Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on October 15?SELL0.17$0.63
10-14 09:38Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on October 14?SELL0.082$0.51
10-14 09:38Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 14?SELL0.05$0.22
10-14 09:38Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 15?SELL0.034$0.48
10-14 09:37Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 14?SELL0.999$3.43
10-14 08:18Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 15?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
10-14 08:18Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 15?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-14 07:13Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 15?BUY0.86$5.00
10-14 07:13Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 15?BUY0.2348336558$5.00