PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x77958accec3edfc6ea0194e8fb954647456b9a17

Realised P&L
$-29.2k
Volume
$1.97M
Markets traded
118
Open portfolio
$3.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded118
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1740.085$1.8k$1.8k
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · Yes0.0360.023$641.39$358.59
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0530.033$614.91$385.09
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.2580.055$415.66$1.5k
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0120.009$78.38$20.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-20 22:18Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.984$1.0k
07-19 20:32Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?BUY0.2449747833$500.00
07-19 20:11Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.601$5.0k
07-19 18:44Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?BUY0.12$3.0k
07-19 18:43Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?SELL0.15$1.9k
07-19 18:20Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.1$1.0k
07-19 18:20Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?BUY0.1199999998$500.00
07-19 17:55Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.592$5.0k
07-19 17:51Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?BUY0.1199999998$500.00
07-19 17:31Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?SELL0.3175$5.0k
07-19 17:25Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5BUY0.4149999998$1000.00
07-19 17:23Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.1$1.0k
07-19 17:15Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.3175$5.0k
07-19 17:14Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5BUY0.695$5.0k
07-19 17:13Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5925$5.0k