Cheezus618630
0x7795369ff097e48135189da2e17ce68b8b3a1db8
- Realised P&L
- $-738.99
- Volume
- $232.8k
- Markets traded
- 2,116
- Open portfolio
- $14.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,116
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.013 | $8.75 | −$53.96 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? · Yes | 0.203 | 0.017 | $5.53 | −$60.47 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET · Down | 0.980 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.98 |
| Sabres vs. Jets · Sabres | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan State Spartans · Michigan State Spartans | 0.522 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will Keith Lehr win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.00 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Receiving Yards O/U 90.5 · Over | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Commanders vs. Vikings · Commanders | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Bengals vs. Bills · Bengals | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Spread: Spurs (-2.5) · Thunder | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Spread: Spurs (-1.5) · Thunder | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET · Down | 0.892 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.80 |
| North Texas vs. Tulane · North Texas | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$75.00 |
| Spread: North Texas (-2.5) · North Texas | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Solana Up or Down - January 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET · Down | 0.876 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$388.64at 0.567Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
- +$350.97at 0.641Ravens vs. Browns
- +$305.70at 0.246Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
- +$282.00at 0.060Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
- +$247.12at 0.940Magic vs. Rockets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 18:48 | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.6599999974 | $25.00 |
| 06-15 18:48 | Spread: Belgium (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3799999951 | $20.00 |
| 05-24 17:40 | Spread: Spurs (-8.5) | BUY | 0.6953642337 | $30.00 |
| 05-24 17:39 | Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | BUY | 0.599999994 | $20.00 |
| 05-24 17:39 | Spread: Spurs (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 05-24 17:39 | Spread: Spurs (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4599999844 | $10.00 |
| 05-23 21:32 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 05-23 21:32 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 05-23 21:32 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? | BUY | 0.0190000001 | $10.00 |
| 05-23 21:31 | Knicks vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.5599999978 | $30.00 |
| 05-21 21:35 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.088999996 | $20.00 |
| 05-19 15:24 | Spread: Knicks (-6.5) | BUY | 0.5099999952 | $30.00 |
| 05-18 20:36 | Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5 | BUY | 0.5799999983 | $20.00 |
| 05-18 20:36 | Spread: Thunder (-6.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 05-18 20:35 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.3299999886 | $15.00 |