PolyBot

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Traders

dondong

0x7793a9eca8badc05f5d8749c5530913459082f6d

Realised P&L
$-79.56
Volume
$22.1k
Markets traded
365
Open portfolio
$2.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded365
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0150.025$1.63+$0.63
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026? · Yes0.1700.095$0.56−$0.44
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · Yes0.3100.010$0.03−$0.97
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) · Bosnia and Herzegovina0.0280.000$0.00−$1.00
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? · No0.0900.000$0.00−$1.00
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Men's French Open? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June? · No0.2270.000$0.00−$11.76
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · No0.0840.000$0.00−$2.20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26? · Yes0.1490.000$0.00−$6.83
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? · No0.0900.000$0.00−$1.35
Knicks vs. Cavaliers · Cavaliers0.1300.000$0.00−$1.30
Will Venstre be part of the next Government of Denmark? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$2.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-02 08:07Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?SELL0.44$2.09
07-02 08:07Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.8$4.00
07-02 08:07Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.779$5.63
07-02 08:07Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.6$4.43
07-02 08:072026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.42$3.14
07-02 08:07Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?SELL0.94$7.17
07-02 08:07Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.78$5.99
07-02 08:072026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseSELL0.39$3.06
07-02 08:07Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?SELL0.33$2.59
07-02 08:07Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?SELL0.64$5.08
07-02 08:07Another pandemic before GTA VI?SELL0.5$4.57
07-02 08:07Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?SELL0.25$2.50
07-02 08:07Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.56$5.60
07-02 08:07Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?SELL0.5$5.09
07-02 08:07Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?SELL0.287748503$3.84