dondong
0x7793a9eca8badc05f5d8749c5530913459082f6d
- Realised P&L
- $-79.56
- Volume
- $22.1k
- Markets traded
- 365
- Open portfolio
- $2.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded365
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$107.32at 0.009Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
- +$22.91at 0.550Grizzlies vs. Pelicans
- +$15.01at 0.535US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
- +$8.68at 0.413Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
- +$8.54at 0.354Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Nuno Borges
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 08:07 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.44 | $2.09 |
| 07-02 08:07 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 07-02 08:07 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.779 | $5.63 |
| 07-02 08:07 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.6 | $4.43 |
| 07-02 08:07 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.42 | $3.14 |
| 07-02 08:07 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | SELL | 0.94 | $7.17 |
| 07-02 08:07 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $5.99 |
| 07-02 08:07 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | SELL | 0.39 | $3.06 |
| 07-02 08:07 | Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election? | SELL | 0.33 | $2.59 |
| 07-02 08:07 | Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? | SELL | 0.64 | $5.08 |
| 07-02 08:07 | Another pandemic before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.5 | $4.57 |
| 07-02 08:07 | Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? | SELL | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 07-02 08:07 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 07-02 08:07 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $5.09 |
| 07-02 08:07 | Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.287748503 | $3.84 |