PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

beatyesterday

0x7789957157a13aa3610e26d61ef8f99317b7a280

Realised P&L
$-106.2k
Volume
$5.73M
Markets traded
919
Open portfolio
$5.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded919
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · No0.8920.979$1.2k+$103.20
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · No0.9930.989$890.10$3.90
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? · No0.9860.993$695.09+$4.90
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.9941.000$599.70+$3.60
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August? · Yes0.9831.000$599.70+$9.90
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.9700.999$599.10+$17.20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August? · Yes0.8901.000$299.84+$32.85
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6720.845$253.50+$51.79
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.6900.710$213.00+$6.00
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.9100.994$198.70+$16.70
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? · Yes0.4600.485$48.50+$2.50
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August? · Yes0.0900.135$40.50+$13.50
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? · Yes0.0450.063$37.80+$10.80
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August? · Yes0.0210.032$23.31+$7.81
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.9310.000$0.00$4.8k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 03:32Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?SELL0.51250025$51.24
08-01 15:44Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?BUY0.996$69.72
08-01 12:55Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.909$27.39
08-01 12:55Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.957$287.10
08-01 12:52Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?SELL0.999$599.40
07-30 22:48Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.998$10.9k
07-30 22:48Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.997$7.1k
07-30 22:32Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.996$3.7k
07-30 22:29Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.995$5.4k
07-30 11:31Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.979$123.92
07-30 11:30Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.979$293.70
07-29 14:14Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?BUY0.90155$540.93
07-29 00:49Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?BUY0.936$280.80
07-29 00:40Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?SELL0.4263266667$127.90
07-29 00:35Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?SELL0.47605$95.21