PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7787bfAaDa69b9Ae36383504dEf6C8C19AEb16CA-1781658322962

0x7787bfaada69b9ae36383504def6c8c19aeb16ca

Realised P&L
$3.2k
Volume
$109.7k
Markets traded
94
Open portfolio
$504.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded94
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Italy win on 2026-10-05? · Yes0.6200.625$504.03+$4.03
Will Trinidad and Tobago win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.1140.001$0.06−$13.58
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET · Up0.0500.000$0.00−$1.00
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kei Nishikori vs Juncheng Shang · Juncheng Shang0.6130.000$0.00−$811.60
Iasi: Zsombor Piros vs Damir Dzumhur · Damir Dzumhur0.5190.000$0.00−$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET · Up0.3890.000$0.00−$5.00
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Zizou Bergs · Zizou Bergs0.1780.000$0.00−$260.00
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.3920.000$0.00−$200.00
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud · Casper Ruud0.1220.000$0.00−$80.00
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$100.00
Szczecin: Thiago Monteiro vs Marco Trungelliti · Marco Trungelliti0.5300.000$0.00−$200.00
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-09-20? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$200.00
Will CA Talleres win on 2026-09-19? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$10.00
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance · Senegal0.4310.000$0.00−$100.00
Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Lloyd Harris · Lloyd Harris0.3960.000$0.00−$170.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 22:08Will Trinidad and Tobago win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.1136666667$13.64
10-01 20:19Will Greece win on 2026-10-01?SELL0.65$202.27
10-01 20:16Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?SELL0.09$39.13
10-01 20:03Will Greece win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.8382290874$205.00
10-01 19:35Will Germany win on 2026-10-01?SELL0.94$226.50
10-01 19:16Will Greece win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.5$100.00
10-01 19:11Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.2299999998$100.00
10-01 19:02Will Germany win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.8299999993$200.00
09-28 19:18Will Italy win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.6199999991$200.00
09-28 19:17Will Italy win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.6199999997$300.00
09-28 19:14Will Türkiye win on 2026-10-05?SELL0.2205373344$213.42
09-28 18:44Will Türkiye win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.3099999992$100.00
09-28 17:56Will Türkiye win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.3099999992$100.00
09-28 17:55Will Türkiye win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.3099999992$100.00
09-28 17:34Will Georgia win on 2026-09-28?SELL0.23$52.27