ChainArbiter
0x7785f719ecfa860181bfeb6f3f712ed2924a6dfc
- Realised P&L
- $-58.24
- Volume
- $975.54
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $20.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.057 | $20.90 | +$0.90 |
| Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2026? · No | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? · No | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.50 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 December 1-7? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 16? · Yes | 0.276 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 1-7? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? · Yes | 0.095 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.40at 0.360Will Trump say "Biden" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 21:13 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.276308889 | $4.00 |
| 09-11 11:22 | Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0545538603 | $20.00 |
| 12-08 18:48 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3099999907 | $15.00 |
| 12-08 18:46 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.31 | $15.50 |
| 12-05 23:32 | Will Trump say "Biden" at the Kennedy Center Honors event? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 12-05 23:06 | Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 12-05 23:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 December 1-7? | BUY | 0.037 | $3.00 |
| 12-05 23:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 1-7? | BUY | 0.0197358358 | $2.00 |
| 12-05 15:15 | Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | BUY | 0.0950286092 | $10.00 |
| 12-05 15:15 | Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |