liuleixian1
0x77845d78421fc4cb9aa6d420f3e0b7e82e3cadec
- Realised P&L
- $162.61
- Volume
- $25.9k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $281.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 10? · No | 0.970 | 0.945 | $116.84 | −$3.09 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August? · No | 0.960 | 0.987 | $92.78 | +$2.54 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 10? · No | 0.960 | 0.970 | $71.85 | +$0.74 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$98.17at 0.807Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
- +$57.53at 0.837Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
- +$45.20at 0.897Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
- +$33.56at 0.925US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
- +$29.96at 0.920US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 07:32 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.97 | $119.93 |
| 08-08 06:44 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $120.12 |
| 08-08 06:39 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.96 | $71.11 |
| 08-07 08:36 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $190.22 |
| 08-06 11:11 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.98 | $121.95 |
| 08-04 08:38 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | BUY | 0.87 | $180.60 |
| 07-29 04:59 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | BUY | 0.954 | $85.86 |
| 07-28 01:35 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | BUY | 0.81 | $36.99 |
| 06-16 00:38 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.968 | $236.76 |
| 06-15 10:10 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8667839987 | $212.00 |
| 06-15 05:10 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $15.96 |
| 06-15 05:04 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.155 | $35.65 |
| 06-15 04:51 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $172.97 |
| 06-15 04:43 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $150.39 |
| 06-15 04:32 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9502059748 | $151.08 |