svb1212
0x777fe01e95c94c829a9d0225aaff595da964c451
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $261.4k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$264.22at 0.124Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
- +$216.69at 0.341Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$58.85at 0.867Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?
- +$56.19at 0.718Trump out as President by June 30?
- +$41.53at 0.007Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 17:08 | Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.2152727273 | $23.68 |
| 09-13 17:07 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $8.17 |
| 09-12 15:55 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $14.00 |
| 09-12 13:35 | Will Yike Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP? | BUY | 0.2809472822 | $80.63 |
| 09-12 13:35 | Will Caliste Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP? | BUY | 0.7050804224 | $201.65 |
| 09-12 13:10 | Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.26 | $26.00 |
| 09-12 10:47 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $28.00 |
| 09-02 15:05 | Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3 | $61.76 |
| 09-02 15:05 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.9552591362 | $201.27 |
| 09-02 15:05 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.43 | $430.86 |
| 09-02 15:04 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.57 | $570.00 |
| 08-21 16:55 | Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2697975627 | $66.64 |
| 08-21 16:54 | Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.34 | $28.66 |
| 08-21 16:53 | Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? | BUY | 0.762 | $33.49 |
| 08-21 16:06 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.68 | $681.36 |