0x777859a82167823a655a6728d0df7ab4d1ae4204
- Realised P&L
- $4.99
- Volume
- $311.91
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $6.74
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.805 | $2.44 | +$0.44 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $167.50 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.720 | $2.29 | +$0.29 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.125 | $1.19 | −$0.81 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.420 | 0.125 | $0.42 | −$1.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.049 | $0.40 | −$1.60 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No | 0.640 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.62at 0.239Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$6.26at 0.249Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?
- +$6.26at 0.249Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?
- +$5.92at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
- +$4.07at 0.337Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 10:13 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 02:12 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $167.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 18:12 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 04:38 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999584 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 15:44 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 04:54 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 21:26 | Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August? | BUY | 0.4499999438 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 23:03 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 10:46 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 21:09 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999725 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 08:04 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 09-02 18:53 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 09-02 09:53 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-02 00:42 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4199998758 | $1.42 |
| 09-01 11:32 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on September 1? | BUY | 0.6699998726 | $1.21 |