Limmilkki
0x77751a4921c351688ab5627ec511de86b2f83bc8
- Realised P&L
- $-479.93
- Volume
- $74.7k
- Markets traded
- 425
- Open portfolio
- $0.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded425
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.105 | $0.10 | −$0.01 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 21? · No | 0.170 | 0.015 | $0.04 | −$0.37 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.66at 0.110Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$9.38at 0.770Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $480 end of November?
- +$8.40at 0.180Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
- +$6.30at 0.100No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
- +$6.30at 0.263Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 13:09 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.096 | $19.58 |
| 09-20 09:27 | Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 04:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.62 |
| 09-19 03:54 | Greenland snap election called by December 31? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.24 |
| 09-19 03:40 | Denmark snap election called by December 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.04 |
| 09-19 03:32 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.55 |
| 09-19 03:31 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.24 |
| 09-19 03:23 | Denmark snap election called by December 31? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 01:58 | Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 19, 2026? (copy) | SELL | 0.07 | $1.43 |
| 09-18 22:44 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.90 |
| 09-18 19:39 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 18? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 09-18 17:40 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | SELL | 0.083 | $1.69 |
| 09-18 14:42 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18? | SELL | 0.0849019608 | $1.73 |
| 09-18 14:06 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.24 |
| 09-18 14:02 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.24 |