Stingy-Practice-Lawn
0x7773efac79f817dcc1831aa47b94f60a7df6fb59
- Realised P&L
- $-15.4k
- Volume
- $80.1k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-19.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration41.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.559 | 0.423 | $917.38 | −$294.72 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.660 | $479.14 | +$29.14 |
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.650 | $366.86 | +$33.86 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.685 | $302.21 | +$2.21 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.555 | $285.66 | −$64.34 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.545 | $273.94 | −$17.42 |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-08 House seat? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.115 | $104.55 | +$4.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.0kat 0.328Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$2.0kat 0.309Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
- +$2.0kat 0.304Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$313.70at 0.343Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
- +$-7.06at 0.372Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 17:20 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.5796541204 | $291.36 |
| 10-30 17:18 | Will the Republican Party win the PA-08 House seat? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $100.00 |
| 10-30 17:16 | Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.5899999996 | $333.00 |
| 10-30 17:15 | Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.6799999994 | $300.00 |
| 10-30 17:14 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? | BUY | 0.6799999998 | $350.00 |
| 10-30 17:08 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6203305115 | $450.00 |
| 10-27 20:05 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5595538711 | $1.2k |
| 10-27 20:03 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.2905220631 | $1.2k |
| 10-27 20:01 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3699999999 | $1.6k |
| 10-27 20:00 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.537182647 | $1.6k |
| 10-27 19:46 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.62952395 | $1.8k |
| 10-25 21:36 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.661 | $2.0k |
| 10-25 01:33 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.827 | $6.2k |
| 10-25 01:28 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8268331094 | $4.0k |
| 10-24 18:05 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.837 | $1.7k |