0x77723339c87654c106ffd67f2040008daa85c40a
0x77723339c87654c106ffd67f2040008daa85c40a
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $32.2k
- Markets traded
- 181
- Open portfolio
- $97.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded181
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$496.10at 0.074Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 11?
- +$375.29at 0.175Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 17?
- +$321.78at 0.199Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 18?
- +$289.02at 0.216Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 20?
- +$224.15at 0.152Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 22:00 | Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? | BUY | 0.7064264141 | $98.84 |
| 10-12 12:32 | Will JPMorgan say "Reduction" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.7446669804 | $19.80 |
| 10-12 12:32 | Will JPMorgan say "Real Estate" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.6199999906 | $19.69 |
| 10-12 12:31 | Will Domino's say "Crispy" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.8 | $19.84 |
| 10-12 12:31 | Will Domino's say "Productivity" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.5799999953 | $19.66 |
| 10-12 12:30 | Will Domino's say "World Cup" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.509999994 | $19.60 |
| 10-11 22:03 | Will Trump say "Executive Order" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.6299999936 | $19.70 |
| 10-11 15:36 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.96230326 | $79.83 |
| 10-11 15:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.8994555518 | $79.55 |
| 10-10 23:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $22.40 |
| 10-08 23:02 | Will Trump say "Gulf of America" during his Midterm Rally in New York? | BUY | 0.6799999945 | $19.74 |
| 10-08 23:00 | Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in New York? | BUY | 0.739999997 | $19.79 |
| 10-08 14:00 | Will Delta Air Lines say "Amazon" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.790438247 | $19.84 |
| 10-07 15:39 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.9399999995 | $79.66 |
| 10-07 12:31 | Will PepsiCo say "Revenue" 5+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.5990381238 | $19.68 |