slothbond
0x776dc307d62f9f421fa317a72e8d8daef48e8577
- Realised P&L
- $9.90
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $551.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,161,000 and $1,196,000 on September 30? · Yes | 0.196 | 0.677 | $283.56 | +$201.56 |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $524,000 and $530,000 on September 30? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.578 | $192.81 | +$42.81 |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,169,000 and $1,185,000 on September 30? · Yes | 0.464 | 0.420 | $71.80 | −$7.44 |
| Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? · Yes | 0.386 | 0.046 | $3.51 | −$25.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.90at 0.338Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 19:23 | Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.4090163535 | $68.78 |
| 09-22 01:23 | Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,169,000 and $1,185,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.4635444548 | $79.25 |
| 09-22 01:22 | Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.3270505982 | $55.00 |
| 09-22 01:05 | Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $524,000 and $530,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.4496702415 | $150.00 |
| 09-22 01:02 | Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,161,000 and $1,196,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.1959179679 | $82.00 |
| 08-17 02:38 | Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? | BUY | 0.3862452736 | $29.13 |