0x776B739296265329ae2dd9b9e66BFfe4CF35138d-1761142737163
0x776b739296265329ae2dd9b9e66bffe4cf35138d
- Realised P&L
- $-828.31
- Volume
- $59.9k
- Markets traded
- 169
- Open portfolio
- $12.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded169
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 10? · No | 0.620 | 0.850 | $4.25 | +$1.15 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 10? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.582 | $2.91 | −$0.89 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 11? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.572 | $2.86 | −$0.99 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 10? · No | 0.180 | 0.418 | $2.09 | +$1.19 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 10? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.150 | $0.75 | −$0.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$86.76at 0.285Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad
- +$70.81at 0.276Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indians
- +$70.00at 0.440India T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 1)
- +$69.94at 0.396Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 21?
- +$66.00at 0.670Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 09:17 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 10? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 10-07 20:13 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 10? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 10-04 22:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 7? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 09-09 15:13 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 10? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 09-09 04:47 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 13? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 09-07 00:20 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 7? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 08-30 16:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 08-30 16:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.8499999405 | $5.00 |
| 06-01 22:02 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 2? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 06-01 19:26 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 2? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 05-28 22:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 29? | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 05-28 22:31 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 29? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 05-28 17:39 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 29? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 05-26 21:02 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 27? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 05-26 12:56 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 27? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |