choyou82
0x7765c06951572ed999908d9a65e3df1cca74ebf4
- Realised P&L
- $-6.0k
- Volume
- $572.8k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $3.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · Yes | 0.008 | 0.005 | $2.7k | −$1.4k |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.055 | $769.35 | −$180.62 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.715 | $215.49 | −$4.52 |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.013 | $108.42 | −$112.56 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.715 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.5k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$177.16at 0.896Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$67.10at 0.993NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
- +$-23.07at 0.088NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
- +$-1.5kat 0.168Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 11:38 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.7299999991 | $220.00 |
| 11-01 11:01 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.06 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 11:01 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.0167099487 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 02:59 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.06 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 02:58 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BUY | 0.0064965197 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 00:17 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BUY | 0.0064727349 | $50.00 |
| 10-31 14:05 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.06 | $100.00 |
| 10-31 14:04 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BUY | 0.0064436351 | $30.00 |
| 10-31 02:52 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.02 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 02:42 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.07 | $100.00 |
| 10-31 02:41 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BUY | 0.007 | $200.00 |
| 10-31 02:39 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.7 | $102.94 |
| 10-30 13:28 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.029 | $200.00 |
| 10-30 13:27 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BUY | 0.008 | $500.00 |
| 10-30 13:26 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.07 | $500.00 |