PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

NAH777

0x7762b83cf8fddb5daf0ab09f538777eae2438a01

Realised P&L
$-2.8k
Volume
$438.2k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$6.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0350.025$3.3k$1.2k
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1780.117$3.1k$1.6k
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0140.015$110.71+$10.71
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.006$90.28$34.72
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0150.013$29.17$5.83
US government shutdown Saturday? · No0.0020.000$0.00$6.50
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.6580.000$0.00$59.09
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$10.94
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00$64.50
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$52.28
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-01-14? · No0.8400.000$0.00$8.65
Will Tony Gonzales be the Republican nominee for TX-23? · Yes0.1030.000$0.00$65.19
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00$4.3k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-24 19:04Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0299999997$100.00
03-08 23:09Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.015$35.00
03-08 23:09Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.018$33.75
03-08 19:55Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1798574935$3.0k
03-08 19:53Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL0.9686916533$8.3k
03-05 04:00Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?SELL0.988$10.44
03-05 03:59Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY0.8246333259$7.1k
03-05 03:57Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?BUY0.0508186286$50.00
03-03 21:03Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY0.77$6.3k
03-03 21:02Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?SELL0.9673399048$6.3k
03-02 19:19Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?BUY0.95$6.2k
03-02 17:27Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0239999998$100.00
03-02 00:10Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?BUY0.9575716222$6.1k
02-28 08:37Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?BUY0.003$15.00
02-23 04:37Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?BUY0.058854897$2.50