NAH777
0x7762b83cf8fddb5daf0ab09f538777eae2438a01
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $438.2k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $6.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.580US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.825Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$897.97at 0.770Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
- +$412.62at 0.520US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$372.93at 0.800Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-24 19:04 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0299999997 | $100.00 |
| 03-08 23:09 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.015 | $35.00 |
| 03-08 23:09 | Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.018 | $33.75 |
| 03-08 19:55 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1798574935 | $3.0k |
| 03-08 19:53 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | SELL | 0.9686916533 | $8.3k |
| 03-05 04:00 | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.988 | $10.44 |
| 03-05 03:59 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.8246333259 | $7.1k |
| 03-05 03:57 | Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.0508186286 | $50.00 |
| 03-03 21:03 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | BUY | 0.77 | $6.3k |
| 03-03 21:02 | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.9673399048 | $6.3k |
| 03-02 19:19 | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $6.2k |
| 03-02 17:27 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0239999998 | $100.00 |
| 03-02 00:10 | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.9575716222 | $6.1k |
| 02-28 08:37 | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | BUY | 0.003 | $15.00 |
| 02-23 04:37 | Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.058854897 | $2.50 |