nstpro
0x7760aca77b7d91de4a10614a57f49c627479723a
- Realised P&L
- $-95.67
- Volume
- $7.0k
- Markets traded
- 356
- Open portfolio
- $1.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded356
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Walz in jail by December 31? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.029 | $0.72 | −$1.27 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.033 | $0.41 | −$1.59 |
| Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.024 | $0.18 | −$0.82 |
| Lamine Yamal: 1+ assists · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners · Under | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Lionel Messi: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes | 0.315 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Harry Kane: 1+ assists · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| France vs. England: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.285 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Lionel Messi: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.37at 0.390Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
- +$8.45at 0.372Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
- +$8.19at 0.196Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
- +$8.11at 0.270Will Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?
- +$6.90at 0.420FK Bodø/Glimt vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 21:24 | Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 21:12 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | SELL | 0.9175 | $2.82 |
| 07-19 20:48 | Spread: Spain (-1.5) | BUY | 0.0749999325 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 19:12 | Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 19:00 | Lionel Messi: 1+ assists | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 19:00 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3249997887 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 18:59 | Argentina to score first vs. Spain? | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 18:59 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4149998879 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 18:59 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 16:27 | Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 16:27 | Lamine Yamal: 1+ assists | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 16:27 | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 16:26 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 16:25 | England to score first vs. France? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 16:25 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |