PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

hedgeit

0x775cd429f130860d66c6ce5cf6b822c32509419a

Realised P&L
$100.78
Volume
$14.2k
Markets traded
104
Open portfolio
$5.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded104
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.8750.915$753.46+$33.02
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9150.955$747.43+$31.25
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.7200.820$708.10+$86.43
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9350.945$335.48+$3.38
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9200.935$303.88+$4.88
Trump out as President by September 30? · No0.9900.994$298.05+$1.15
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9080.935$233.75+$6.75
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · No0.8110.875$205.63+$15.13
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.955$205.32+$7.53
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.9670.983$177.02+$2.88
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.9710.969$159.80$0.45
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.955$124.15+$0.65
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? · No0.9280.834$120.90$13.68
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9520.958$119.68+$0.64
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.935$93.50+$0.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 12:50Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.997$99.70
07-14 20:28France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.1024999914$10.00
07-14 09:18Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.82$20.50
06-28 18:56Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?BUY0.29$4.35
06-28 18:56Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?BUY0.19$9.50
06-20 12:48Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?BUY0.995$29.85
06-11 18:56Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?BUY0.1099999644$2.50
06-11 16:15Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?BUY0.21$1.09
06-11 16:14Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?BUY0.11$2.75
06-02 09:46MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.009$10.00
06-01 14:27MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.6369999995$5.00
06-01 12:27MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.7649999304$10.00
05-18 18:50Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9$22.50
05-15 12:18Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?BUY0.995$24.88
05-09 18:12Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?SELL0.98$149.19