hedgeit
0x775cd429f130860d66c6ce5cf6b822c32509419a
- Realised P&L
- $100.78
- Volume
- $14.2k
- Markets traded
- 104
- Open portfolio
- $5.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded104
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.32at 0.746Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in April?
- +$27.69at 0.260Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
- +$17.60at 0.749Will Ethena dip to $0.04 in April?
- +$16.50at 0.539UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims)
- +$15.63at 0.747MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 12:50 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $99.70 |
| 07-14 20:28 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.1024999914 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 09:18 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.82 | $20.50 |
| 06-28 18:56 | Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw? | BUY | 0.29 | $4.35 |
| 06-28 18:56 | Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28? | BUY | 0.19 | $9.50 |
| 06-20 12:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? | BUY | 0.995 | $29.85 |
| 06-11 18:56 | Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.1099999644 | $2.50 |
| 06-11 16:15 | Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.09 |
| 06-11 16:14 | Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.75 |
| 06-02 09:46 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $10.00 |
| 06-01 14:27 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6369999995 | $5.00 |
| 06-01 12:27 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7649999304 | $10.00 |
| 05-18 18:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $22.50 |
| 05-15 12:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May? | BUY | 0.995 | $24.88 |
| 05-09 18:12 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | SELL | 0.98 | $149.19 |