PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kvillegas

0x774cdec84d24ce7fc4e5af524fcf26ce0dc02c62

Realised P&L
$58.83
Volume
$11.4k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$82.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 21? · Yes0.6100.675$37.61+$3.62
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.21% in September? · No0.8100.875$23.52+$1.75
Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 23, 2026? (copy) (copy) · No0.5600.485$21.74$3.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-10 08:31Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?BUY0.6299999977$19.20
01-31 13:58Will Chainlink hit $15 in January?BUY0.999$10.28
01-30 16:54Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,475-$4,600 in January?BUY0.9909999152$4.84
01-30 15:37Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?BUY0.999$3.97
01-30 15:13Will Hyperliquid hit $42 in January?BUY0.9969999999$15.40
01-30 14:17Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.998$49.15
12-30 10:17Will Trump pardon Young Thug in 2025?BUY0.999$11.84
12-30 00:32Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?BUY0.9979999365$7.86
12-29 22:52Will Trump pardon Young Thug in 2025?BUY0.999$24.02
12-29 22:35Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.998$15.32
12-29 20:05Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame in 2025?BUY0.999$23.85
10-30 21:59Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?BUY0.998$18.39
10-30 19:20Will Meta have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$23.80
09-29 18:15Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?BUY0.999$14.17
09-29 16:30Will XRP reach $4.50 in September?BUY0.999$16.34