PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

appaHenDuoCian

0x774728ed9264a5ca242e8bd7952a869df318fe40

Realised P&L
$2.8k
Volume
$162.6k
Markets traded
6,523
Open portfolio
$14.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded6,523
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration4.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Željko Komšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? · Yes0.0170.168$3.36+$3.02
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? · Yes0.0190.225$2.29+$2.09
Exact Score: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC 1 - 0 Liaoning Tieren FC? · Yes0.0591.000$2.03+$1.91
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KY-03 House election by 30%-35%? · Yes0.0770.425$1.59+$1.31
Will Staša Košarac be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? · Yes0.0170.039$0.78+$0.44
Will Radovan Višković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? · Yes0.0170.027$0.54+$0.20
Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes0.0190.041$0.42+$0.22
Will Martin Kapitulík win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election? · Yes0.0310.061$0.34+$0.17
Will Zukan Helez be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? · Yes0.0170.017$0.34+$0.00
Will Srđan Amidžić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? · Yes0.0170.017$0.34+$0.00
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-11 House election by 15%-18%? · Yes0.0770.033$0.14−$0.20
Will Guinea win AFCON 2027? · Yes0.0180.006$0.13−$0.26
Will Mozambique win AFCON 2027? · Yes0.0180.006$0.13−$0.26
Will Kenya win AFCON 2027? · Yes0.0180.006$0.13−$0.26
Will Evan Ferguson be the top scorer of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? · Yes0.0130.004$0.11−$0.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 16:48Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 45% or more?SELL0.01$0.35
09-19 16:48Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 5%-15%?SELL0.0074781735$0.26
09-19 16:48Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 0%-5%?SELL0.0757388809$2.64
09-19 16:48Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election?SELL0.007$0.24
09-19 16:48Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 25%-30%?BUY0.83$28.93
09-19 16:48Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 30%-35%?BUY0.8$27.88
09-19 16:48Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 40%-45%?BUY0.899$31.33
09-19 16:48Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 15%-20%?BUY0.9$31.37
09-19 16:48Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 35%-40%?BUY0.870241033$30.33
09-19 16:48Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 20%-25%?BUY0.77$26.83
09-19 16:42Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.999$229.62
09-19 16:42Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.753$173.08
09-19 16:42Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.997$229.16
09-19 16:42Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.999$229.62
09-19 16:42Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.981$225.48