appaHenDuoCian
0x774728ed9264a5ca242e8bd7952a869df318fe40
- Realised P&L
- $2.8k
- Volume
- $162.6k
- Markets traded
- 6,523
- Open portfolio
- $14.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded6,523
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration4.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.270Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$932.77at 0.001Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- +$612.84at 0.236Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$463.03at 0.329Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
- +$376.30at 0.002Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 16:48 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 45% or more? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.35 |
| 09-19 16:48 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 5%-15%? | SELL | 0.0074781735 | $0.26 |
| 09-19 16:48 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 0%-5%? | SELL | 0.0757388809 | $2.64 |
| 09-19 16:48 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.24 |
| 09-19 16:48 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 25%-30%? | BUY | 0.83 | $28.93 |
| 09-19 16:48 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 30%-35%? | BUY | 0.8 | $27.88 |
| 09-19 16:48 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 40%-45%? | BUY | 0.899 | $31.33 |
| 09-19 16:48 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 15%-20%? | BUY | 0.9 | $31.37 |
| 09-19 16:48 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 35%-40%? | BUY | 0.870241033 | $30.33 |
| 09-19 16:48 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 20%-25%? | BUY | 0.77 | $26.83 |
| 09-19 16:42 | Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.999 | $229.62 |
| 09-19 16:42 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.753 | $173.08 |
| 09-19 16:42 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.997 | $229.16 |
| 09-19 16:42 | Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.999 | $229.62 |
| 09-19 16:42 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.981 | $225.48 |