KotoneNonomura
0x77463c5ee63c7ec42c2d154b2f8294bfc772f73b
- Realised P&L
- $-4.35
- Volume
- $62.39
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $1.59
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 19-25? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.415 | $1.59 | −$0.21 |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) · Knicks | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Bulls vs. 76ers · Bulls | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.20 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres · San Diego Padres | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.34at 0.487Spread: Knicks (-2.5)
- +$3.38at 0.677Wild vs. Avalanche
- +$0.32at 0.560Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 02:46 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 19-25? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.80 |
| 10-19 03:50 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $2.60 |
| 09-21 02:06 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.20 |
| 07-30 15:07 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.5899999902 | $6.00 |
| 06-07 20:22 | Spread: Knicks (-4.5) | BUY | 0.4199999622 | $4.00 |
| 05-25 22:09 | Spread: Knicks (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 05-13 18:55 | Wild vs. Avalanche | BUY | 0.6699999809 | $7.00 |
| 03-25 13:22 | Bulls vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.32 | $3.20 |