Scaggypoos
0x773cd6af028fa8818ccb7ff8678e6727dbefcf18
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $1.41M
- Markets traded
- 830
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded830
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Kansas State (-3.5) · Kansas State | 0.480 | 0.445 | $710.66 | −$55.89 |
| Spread: Panthers (-3.5) · Panthers | 0.470 | 0.465 | $488.25 | −$5.25 |
| 1H Spread: Texas (-6.5) · Florida | 0.480 | 0.440 | $209.88 | −$19.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.0kat 0.600Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees
- +$4.5kat 0.560Red Sox vs. Blue Jays
- +$4.2kat 0.510Astros vs. Athletics
- +$3.7kat 0.477Spread: Spurs (-5.5)
- +$3.1kat 0.456Spread: Thunder (-15.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 09:30 | Spread: Kansas State (-3.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $274.56 |
| 10-17 09:24 | 1H Spread: Texas (-6.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $228.96 |
| 10-17 09:10 | Spread: Kansas State (-3.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $492.00 |
| 10-17 08:44 | Spread: Panthers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $493.50 |
| 10-13 00:12 | Spread: Rams (-3.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $945.00 |
| 09-27 23:58 | Rams vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.5 | $149.00 |
| 09-27 19:59 | Spread: Vikings (-7.5) | BUY | 0.75 | $179.00 |
| 09-26 09:05 | Panthers vs. Browns: O/U 42.5 | BUY | 0.4799999999 | $551.00 |
| 09-26 09:03 | Spread: 49ers (-8.5) | BUY | 0.4799999999 | $551.00 |
| 09-26 09:02 | Spread: Bengals (-3.5) | BUY | 0.4699999999 | $527.00 |
| 09-26 09:00 | Spread: Kentucky (-20.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $459.00 |
| 09-26 07:46 | Spread: Oregon (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4399999998 | $925.00 |
| 09-26 07:13 | Spread: Kentucky (-20.5) | BUY | 0.4799999998 | $425.00 |
| 09-26 06:55 | Spread: Eagles (-4.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $750.00 |
| 09-26 06:41 | Spread: Bengals (-3.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $839.00 |