0x7739fe68fe119d12cdbf7fc23fd5cfa4eb55aee5
0x7739fe68fe119d12cdbf7fc23fd5cfa4eb55aee5
- Realised P&L
- $-10.16
- Volume
- $221.22
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $16.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Slaven Kovačević be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.315 | $7.29 | −$2.66 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.082 | 0.182 | $4.45 | +$2.45 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.169 | 0.071 | $2.12 | −$2.88 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.125 | $1.84 | −$3.16 |
| Will Semir Efendić be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.024 | $0.65 | −$4.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.06at 0.746Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-0.02at 0.160Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-1.00at 0.120Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be less than 4 on April 19, 2026?
- +$-1.00at 0.267Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be 20 or more on April 19, 2026?
- +$-1.00at 0.390Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 07:29 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $5.00 |
| 06-25 10:48 | Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 06-07 21:17 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.161 | $1.01 |
| 05-13 18:03 | Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.739999994 | $14.72 |
| 05-13 17:56 | Will Semir Efendić be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 05-13 16:42 | Will Slaven Kovačević be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? | BUY | 0.4299999918 | $9.95 |
| 05-13 15:50 | Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.459999885 | $2.00 |
| 04-17 18:06 | Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be 20 or more on April 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.2669998294 | $1.00 |
| 04-17 12:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $0.87 |
| 04-17 12:25 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999475 | $3.00 |
| 04-15 05:53 | Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be less than 4 on April 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 04-15 05:53 | Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 16 and 19 on April 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 04-13 21:24 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1689999766 | $5.00 |
| 04-13 20:01 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0819999654 | $2.00 |
| 04-12 20:53 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |