trumpstore
0x77283ecc1b51df189f103221e083ce180eaf3b51
- Realised P&L
- $-115.63
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.617 | 0.633 | $821.36 | +$21.36 |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.682 | 0.625 | $577.62 | −$52.58 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.525 | $364.57 | −$31.25 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.245 | $42.04 | −$9.44 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.23 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? · Yes | 0.747 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$118.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.55at 0.567Will France win on 2026-06-16?
- +$-10.32at 0.290Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
- +$-20.46at 0.978Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 22:15 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $51.48 |
| 10-30 16:42 | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6818885337 | $630.20 |
| 10-30 16:41 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.6071271082 | $442.78 |
| 10-30 16:40 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $48.15 |
| 10-30 16:40 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.27 | $139.27 |
| 10-30 14:58 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? | BUY | 0.5699999999 | $245.82 |
| 10-30 14:57 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6152749881 | $100.00 |
| 10-30 14:56 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? | BUY | 0.5699999994 | $150.00 |
| 10-30 14:54 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6166118631 | $1.0k |
| 10-30 14:26 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.2899999996 | $149.59 |
| 10-30 14:15 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999994 | $51.59 |
| 10-30 14:15 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6209999993 | $150.00 |
| 07-01 21:54 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.1199999548 | $2.23 |
| 07-01 21:53 | Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? | SELL | 0.071 | $1.60 |
| 07-01 21:45 | Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.9769999969 | $22.00 |