PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

nekris117

0x77274795b75151b099ddc02984eaf3356b39366f

Realised P&L
$-2.9k
Volume
$14.9k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$171.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-19.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)65.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? · No0.9760.969$60.73−$0.47
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · No0.9530.976$60.70+$1.40
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-15 House seat? · Yes0.9760.979$50.32+$0.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-19 10:47Ethereum Up or Down on August 21?BUY0.5$257.00
08-18 13:53Guardians vs. DiamondbacksBUY0.5$485.00
05-26 09:01Cardinals vs. OriolesBUY0.51$593.13
05-21 10:12Solana Up or Down on May 22?BUY0.5$519.00
05-19 10:30Orioles vs. BrewersBUY0.51$591.09
05-16 13:10Guardians vs. RedsBUY0.54$666.90
05-14 11:05Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?BUY0.61$445.30
04-30 12:46Canadiens vs. CapitalsBUY0.3699999993$162.00
04-25 11:53Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 22-28?BUY0.8199999995$190.00
04-23 13:58Jets vs. BluesBUY0.5399999994$179.00