nekris117
0x77274795b75151b099ddc02984eaf3356b39366f
- Realised P&L
- $-2.9k
- Volume
- $14.9k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $171.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-19.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? · No | 0.976 | 0.969 | $60.73 | −$0.47 |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · No | 0.953 | 0.976 | $60.70 | +$1.40 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-15 House seat? · Yes | 0.976 | 0.979 | $50.32 | +$0.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$758.16at 0.480Chennai Super Kings vs. Rajasthan Royals
- +$567.91at 0.510Orioles vs. Brewers
- +$257.00at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down on August 21?
- +$41.71at 0.820Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 22-28?
- +$0.54at 0.940New pandemic in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-19 10:47 | Ethereum Up or Down on August 21? | BUY | 0.5 | $257.00 |
| 08-18 13:53 | Guardians vs. Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.5 | $485.00 |
| 05-26 09:01 | Cardinals vs. Orioles | BUY | 0.51 | $593.13 |
| 05-21 10:12 | Solana Up or Down on May 22? | BUY | 0.5 | $519.00 |
| 05-19 10:30 | Orioles vs. Brewers | BUY | 0.51 | $591.09 |
| 05-16 13:10 | Guardians vs. Reds | BUY | 0.54 | $666.90 |
| 05-14 11:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14? | BUY | 0.61 | $445.30 |
| 04-30 12:46 | Canadiens vs. Capitals | BUY | 0.3699999993 | $162.00 |
| 04-25 11:53 | Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 22-28? | BUY | 0.8199999995 | $190.00 |
| 04-23 13:58 | Jets vs. Blues | BUY | 0.5399999994 | $179.00 |